Race 12B

maisa-women-fall-dinghy-championships

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Morgan Sailer 7.8% 7.0% 9.0% 8.4% 10.8% 11.9% 11.7% 12.0% 10.8% 8.1% 2.5% 0.0%
Sinead McManus 10.7% 12.8% 11.7% 12.6% 12.8% 10.8% 10.9% 9.0% 6.3% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Daisy Holthus 18.5% 14.8% 14.7% 13.2% 12.9% 9.4% 8.1% 4.4% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Colleen Baumann 4.8% 5.0% 6.5% 7.6% 9.2% 9.7% 10.9% 13.2% 15.4% 12.4% 5.1% 0.2%
Brittney Slook 17.7% 17.5% 18.0% 10.1% 10.8% 9.8% 7.2% 4.7% 3.3% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Amanda Majernik 12.0% 12.9% 10.2% 12.2% 11.7% 12.5% 9.7% 8.4% 6.9% 2.9% 0.6% 0.0%
Caroline Sandoval 3.9% 5.1% 4.6% 6.6% 6.3% 6.9% 9.7% 12.4% 15.2% 19.8% 9.1% 0.4%
Gloria Kevliciute 11.5% 11.9% 11.1% 11.9% 9.7% 9.8% 11.0% 10.3% 8.2% 3.4% 1.2% 0.0%
Julia LaForgia 9.3% 8.8% 10.7% 12.3% 11.1% 12.6% 10.6% 10.8% 8.6% 4.2% 1.0% 0.0%
Emma Sullivan 2.4% 2.6% 2.3% 3.7% 3.1% 3.4% 5.6% 9.7% 13.8% 25.3% 27.1% 1.0%
Maiya Foleck 1.3% 1.4% 1.1% 1.4% 1.4% 3.2% 4.4% 5.0% 8.3% 19.5% 49.3% 3.7%
Bridget Patterson 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.3% 0.8% 3.3% 94.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.