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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.11+0.82vs Predicted
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2Maine Maritime Academy0.72+1.45vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-0.32+1.88vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College1.26-1.22vs Predicted
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6Olin College of Engineering0.46-2.19vs Predicted
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7University of Connecticut-1.53-0.55vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.84-2.35vs Predicted
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9Williams College-2.24-1.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.82Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.110.5%1st Place
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3.45Maine Maritime Academy0.720.1%1st Place
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4.88University of New Hampshire-0.320.0%1st Place
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2.78Middlebury College1.260.2%1st Place
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3.81Olin College of Engineering0.460.1%1st Place
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6.45University of Connecticut-1.530.0%1st Place
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5.65University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.840.0%1st Place
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7.17Williams College-2.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Bowen | 50.7% | 27.6% | 13.7% | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mott Blair | 11.4% | 17.6% | 23.2% | 22.7% | 15.3% | 7.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Lauren Miller | 4.6% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 14.0% | 23.7% | 24.1% | 12.4% | 4.0% |
| Alexander Baskin | 20.0% | 26.9% | 23.5% | 18.5% | 8.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Colin Snow | 8.8% | 14.0% | 18.7% | 23.0% | 21.3% | 10.3% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Heather Lewis | 1.2% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 9.8% | 18.9% | 34.1% | 26.5% |
| Isabel Rombult | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 9.6% | 16.3% | 27.9% | 23.8% | 10.7% |
| Ariane Grossmann | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 8.3% | 23.6% | 57.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.