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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College-0.52+2.13vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-0.60+2.50vs Predicted
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3American University-0.61+0.23vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-0.97+0.14vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-1.29-0.52vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-1.62-1.03vs Predicted
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7Washington College-0.79-3.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.13SUNY Maritime College-0.5220.9%1st Place
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4.5SUNY Stony Brook-0.609.8%1st Place
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3.23American University-0.6121.3%1st Place
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4.14Princeton University-0.9711.6%1st Place
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4.48University of Delaware-1.2910.4%1st Place
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4.97Princeton University-1.627.3%1st Place
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3.55Washington College-0.7918.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 20.9% | 21.1% | 19.6% | 15.7% | 11.4% | 7.6% | 3.6% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 9.8% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 18.8% | 20.4% |
| Brooke Lorson | 21.3% | 19.6% | 17.1% | 16.5% | 13.0% | 7.9% | 4.7% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 11.6% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 17.0% | 17.8% | 12.2% |
| Seton Dill | 10.4% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 13.2% | 16.1% | 19.4% | 18.8% |
| Kate Feiner | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 13.3% | 17.2% | 32.8% |
| Imogene Nuss | 18.6% | 15.9% | 17.1% | 15.4% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.