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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College-0.52+2.18vs Predicted
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2American University-0.61+1.23vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.97+1.13vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.60+0.46vs Predicted
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5Washington College-0.79-1.40vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-1.62-1.11vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-1.29-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.18SUNY Maritime College-0.5222.1%1st Place
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3.23American University-0.6120.4%1st Place
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4.13Princeton University-0.9712.7%1st Place
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4.46SUNY Stony Brook-0.6010.9%1st Place
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3.6Washington College-0.7916.8%1st Place
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4.89Princeton University-1.628.1%1st Place
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4.51University of Delaware-1.299.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicole Ostapowicz | 22.1% | 19.8% | 17.0% | 16.7% | 12.8% | 7.6% | 4.2% |
| Brooke Lorson | 20.4% | 20.7% | 18.0% | 14.9% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 4.4% |
| Evelyn Walsh | 12.7% | 12.4% | 15.2% | 13.6% | 15.7% | 15.7% | 14.8% |
| Rose von Eckartsberg | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 15.0% | 19.2% | 19.5% |
| Imogene Nuss | 16.8% | 17.1% | 16.6% | 15.3% | 15.0% | 12.0% | 7.2% |
| Kate Feiner | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 18.8% | 30.1% |
| Seton Dill | 9.0% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 15.3% | 15.6% | 17.7% | 19.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.