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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.37+8.96vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.93+5.66vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+8.26vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida4.17+2.56vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.61+3.70vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.44+3.49vs Predicted
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7Harvard University4.50-1.51vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.33+1.80vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.57-0.12vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.73-1.49vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.68+1.56vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University4.74-7.02vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.07+1.32vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.79-6.15vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.87-3.31vs Predicted
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16University of Miami2.28-2.11vs Predicted
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17Stanford University3.72-8.55vs Predicted
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18Boston University3.03-7.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.96Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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7.66College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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11.26St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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6.56University of South Florida4.170.1%1st Place
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8.7Roger Williams University3.610.1%1st Place
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9.49U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.440.0%1st Place
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5.49Harvard University4.500.1%1st Place
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9.8U. S. Naval Academy3.330.0%1st Place
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8.88Yale University3.570.0%1st Place
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8.51University of Vermont3.730.1%1st Place
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12.56University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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4.98Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
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14.32Salve Regina University2.070.0%1st Place
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7.85Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.790.1%1st Place
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11.69University of Rhode Island2.870.0%1st Place
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13.89University of Miami2.280.0%1st Place
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8.45Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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10.93Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hutchings | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.0% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| John Wallace | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 5.3% |
| Zachary Marks | 10.1% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Pimentel | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Eric Horrocks | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
| Tedd Himler | 12.3% | 14.3% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alejandro Ravelo | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% |
| Max Nickbarg | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Olin Davis | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Michael Russom | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 13.2% |
| Chris Barnard | 15.9% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Robert Keller | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 18.0% | 30.1% |
| Sam Padnos | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Ryan Hughes | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 7.8% |
| Ben Jassin | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 25.0% |
| Oliver Toole | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Ian Towill | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.