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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.88+7.86vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.75+3.58vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida1.59+6.99vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.50+2.41vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.10+2.77vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.08+1.97vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.44-0.41vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.71+1.20vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.75+0.14vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.11+1.65vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.22-3.49vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.51-5.37vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.07-5.19vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.27-0.37vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.43-4.71vs Predicted
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16Bates College-1.81+0.93vs Predicted
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17Boston College2.13-9.18vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College-2.27-0.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.86Brown University1.880.1%1st Place
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5.58Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.99University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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6.41Dartmouth College2.500.1%1st Place
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7.77Northeastern University2.100.1%1st Place
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7.97Tufts University2.080.1%1st Place
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6.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.440.1%1st Place
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9.2Tufts University1.710.0%1st Place
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9.14Roger Williams University1.750.0%1st Place
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11.65University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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7.51Yale University2.220.1%1st Place
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6.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.510.1%1st Place
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7.81University of Rhode Island2.070.1%1st Place
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13.63Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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10.29Connecticut College1.430.0%1st Place
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16.93Bates College-1.810.0%1st Place
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7.82Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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17.23Middlebury College-2.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Severin Gramm | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Hanley | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 5.7% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| James Paul | 10.6% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Clinton Hegarty | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Trammell | 7.0% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Olmsted | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Annika Fedde | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Chase Reynolds | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 11.9% | 15.7% | 15.9% | 3.4% | 0.2% |
| Catherine "B" Lindsay | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Crew Fritsch | 9.0% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alec Bodenski | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 35.5% | 12.1% | 1.5% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 7.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Dunbar | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 6.2% | 48.7% | 38.2% |
| Graham Ness | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tony Sjodin | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 4.2% | 30.4% | 60.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.