← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College2.50+5.64vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University2.75+3.61vs Predicted
-
3Brown University1.88+5.90vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University1.71+5.16vs Predicted
-
5Northeastern University2.10+2.81vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University1.75+3.18vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University2.08+0.93vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.51-1.75vs Predicted
-
9Yale University2.22-1.66vs Predicted
-
10University of South Florida1.59+0.03vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island2.07-2.93vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.44-5.06vs Predicted
-
13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.27+0.71vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont1.11-2.82vs Predicted
-
15Connecticut College1.43-4.68vs Predicted
-
16Boston College2.13-8.26vs Predicted
-
17Bates College-1.81-0.04vs Predicted
-
18Middlebury College-2.27-0.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.64Dartmouth College2.500.1%1st Place
-
5.61Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
-
8.9Brown University1.880.0%1st Place
-
9.16Tufts University1.710.0%1st Place
-
7.81Northeastern University2.100.1%1st Place
-
9.18Roger Williams University1.750.0%1st Place
-
7.93Tufts University2.080.1%1st Place
-
6.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.510.1%1st Place
-
7.34Yale University2.220.1%1st Place
-
10.03University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
-
8.07University of Rhode Island2.070.1%1st Place
-
6.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.440.1%1st Place
-
13.71Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
-
11.18University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
-
10.32Connecticut College1.430.0%1st Place
-
7.74Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
-
16.96Bates College-1.810.0%1st Place
-
17.21Middlebury College-2.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Paul | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 10.8% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Severin Gramm | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annika Fedde | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Clinton Hegarty | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chase Reynolds | 4.9% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Bryan Trammell | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Crew Fritsch | 9.9% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Catherine "B" Lindsay | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Hanley | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Olmsted | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alec Bodenski | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 38.4% | 11.4% | 1.4% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 7.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Graham Ness | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Peter Dunbar | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 6.0% | 47.4% | 40.1% |
| Tony Sjodin | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 4.0% | 32.5% | 58.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.