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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.51+5.48vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.13+5.89vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.07+5.05vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.08+3.77vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.22+2.30vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.43+4.28vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.11+4.36vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.75+1.06vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.10-1.29vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.44-3.22vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.69-1.50vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.75-6.20vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.50-6.73vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.71-4.98vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.59-5.30vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.27-2.12vs Predicted
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17Bates College-1.81-0.05vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College-2.27-0.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.510.1%1st Place
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7.89Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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8.05University of Rhode Island2.070.1%1st Place
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7.77Tufts University2.080.1%1st Place
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7.3Yale University2.220.1%1st Place
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10.28Connecticut College1.430.0%1st Place
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11.36University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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9.06Roger Williams University1.750.0%1st Place
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7.71Northeastern University2.100.1%1st Place
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6.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.440.1%1st Place
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9.5Brown University1.690.0%1st Place
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5.8Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.27Dartmouth College2.500.1%1st Place
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9.02Tufts University1.710.0%1st Place
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9.7University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
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13.88Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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16.95Bates College-1.810.0%1st Place
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17.21Middlebury College-2.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crew Fritsch | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Graham Ness | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Trammell | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Catherine "B" Lindsay | 7.2% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 7.8% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 15.6% | 14.1% | 3.2% | 0.1% |
| Chase Reynolds | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Clinton Hegarty | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Olmsted | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William George | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 12.7% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Paul | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Annika Fedde | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Hanley | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 5.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Alec Bodenski | 0.9% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 39.1% | 11.2% | 1.5% |
| Peter Dunbar | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 7.0% | 46.0% | 40.3% |
| Tony Sjodin | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 3.9% | 33.2% | 57.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.