← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University2.22+6.49vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.51+4.46vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University2.75+2.62vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University2.08+3.77vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University1.75+4.06vs Predicted
-
6Dartmouth College2.50+0.40vs Predicted
-
7Boston College2.13+0.70vs Predicted
-
8Brown University1.69+1.28vs Predicted
-
9University of Vermont1.11+2.41vs Predicted
-
10Connecticut College1.43+0.51vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island2.07-2.95vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.44-5.09vs Predicted
-
13Northeastern University2.10-5.33vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University1.71-5.01vs Predicted
-
15University of South Florida1.59-5.33vs Predicted
-
16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.27-2.16vs Predicted
-
17Bates College-1.81-0.04vs Predicted
-
18Middlebury College-2.27-0.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.49Yale University2.220.1%1st Place
-
6.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.510.1%1st Place
-
5.62Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
-
7.77Tufts University2.080.1%1st Place
-
9.06Roger Williams University1.750.0%1st Place
-
6.4Dartmouth College2.500.1%1st Place
-
7.7Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
-
9.28Brown University1.690.0%1st Place
-
11.41University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
-
10.51Connecticut College1.430.0%1st Place
-
8.05University of Rhode Island2.070.1%1st Place
-
6.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.440.1%1st Place
-
7.67Northeastern University2.100.1%1st Place
-
8.99Tufts University1.710.0%1st Place
-
9.67University of South Florida1.590.0%1st Place
-
13.84Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
-
16.96Bates College-1.810.0%1st Place
-
17.22Middlebury College-2.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Catherine "B" Lindsay | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Crew Fritsch | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 10.6% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Trammell | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chase Reynolds | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 4.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| James Paul | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Graham Ness | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William George | 4.3% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 3.2% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Olmsted | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Clinton Hegarty | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Annika Fedde | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ethan Hanley | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Alec Bodenski | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 36.8% | 11.5% | 1.5% |
| Peter Dunbar | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 6.6% | 46.4% | 40.2% |
| Tony Sjodin | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 33.3% | 57.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.