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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.07+6.95vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.69+7.49vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.51+3.45vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.22+3.17vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.75+0.41vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.13+1.60vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.50-0.72vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.75+0.94vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.08-1.24vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.10-2.03vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.27-0.16vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.43-1.42vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.27+0.61vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.44-7.72vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.11-3.75vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.71-6.71vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College-2.27+0.34vs Predicted
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18Bates College-1.81-1.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.95University of Rhode Island2.070.1%1st Place
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9.49Brown University1.690.0%1st Place
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6.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.510.1%1st Place
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7.17Yale University2.220.1%1st Place
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5.41Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.6Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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6.28Dartmouth College2.500.1%1st Place
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8.94Roger Williams University1.750.0%1st Place
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7.76Tufts University2.080.1%1st Place
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7.97Northeastern University2.100.1%1st Place
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10.84University of South Florida1.270.0%1st Place
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10.58Connecticut College1.430.0%1st Place
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13.61Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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6.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.440.1%1st Place
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11.25University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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9.29Tufts University1.710.0%1st Place
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17.34Middlebury College-2.270.0%1st Place
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16.81Bates College-1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Rosenberg | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William George | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Crew Fritsch | 9.0% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Catherine "B" Lindsay | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 14.0% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Graham Ness | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| James Paul | 9.6% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Chase Reynolds | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Trammell | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Clinton Hegarty | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 9.7% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Alec Bodenski | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 13.5% | 37.4% | 10.3% | 1.3% |
| Nathan Olmsted | 9.9% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| Annika Fedde | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Tony Sjodin | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 29.2% | 62.9% |
| Peter Dunbar | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 5.8% | 50.8% | 35.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.