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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.22+6.50vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.51+4.42vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.50+3.44vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.69+5.15vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.13+2.61vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.11+5.36vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.71+2.19vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.75-2.65vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.10-1.34vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.43+0.46vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University1.75-1.80vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.27-0.94vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.08-5.33vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.27-0.44vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.44-8.60vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.07-8.16vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College-2.27+0.33vs Predicted
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18Bates College-1.81-1.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.5Yale University2.220.1%1st Place
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6.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.510.1%1st Place
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6.44Dartmouth College2.500.1%1st Place
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9.15Brown University1.690.0%1st Place
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7.61Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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11.36University of Vermont1.110.0%1st Place
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9.19Tufts University1.710.0%1st Place
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5.35Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.66Northeastern University2.100.1%1st Place
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10.46Connecticut College1.430.0%1st Place
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9.2Roger Williams University1.750.1%1st Place
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11.06University of South Florida1.270.0%1st Place
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7.67Tufts University2.080.1%1st Place
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13.56Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.270.0%1st Place
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6.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.440.1%1st Place
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7.84University of Rhode Island2.070.1%1st Place
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17.33Middlebury College-2.270.0%1st Place
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16.8Bates College-1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Catherine "B" Lindsay | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Crew Fritsch | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Paul | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William George | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Graham Ness | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Hamilton | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 14.5% | 12.5% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Annika Fedde | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Ascencios | 14.1% | 13.7% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clinton Hegarty | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Mckinney | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Chase Reynolds | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Andreas Keswater | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Bryan Trammell | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alec Bodenski | 1.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 13.1% | 35.1% | 10.7% | 1.4% |
| Nathan Olmsted | 10.0% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tony Sjodin | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 3.3% | 29.9% | 62.4% |
| Peter Dunbar | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 5.3% | 50.5% | 35.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.