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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.98+5.88vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.97+4.84vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.59+5.23vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.76+3.34vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.64+2.77vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.91+0.87vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.06+3.03vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.54-3.30vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.06-2.74vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.73+1.44vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.64-2.99vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.58+0.01vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61-5.19vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.37-1.86vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.67-3.55vs Predicted
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16Harvard University0.93-5.42vs Predicted
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17Bates College-0.86-1.32vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College-1.89-1.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.88Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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6.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.970.1%1st Place
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8.23Yale University1.590.1%1st Place
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7.34Tufts University1.760.1%1st Place
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7.77Dartmouth College1.640.1%1st Place
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6.87University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
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10.03University of Rhode Island1.060.0%1st Place
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4.7Boston College2.540.2%1st Place
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6.26Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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11.44Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
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8.01Brown University1.640.1%1st Place
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12.01University of Vermont0.580.0%1st Place
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7.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.1%1st Place
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12.14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.370.0%1st Place
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11.45Northeastern University0.670.0%1st Place
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10.58Harvard University0.930.0%1st Place
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15.68Bates College-0.860.0%1st Place
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16.97Middlebury College-1.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chloe Holder | 8.0% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pinto | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Petru Neagu | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Monahan | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Johnson | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| John (Jack) Plavan | 16.4% | 16.0% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Higham | 9.9% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 6.4% | 0.8% |
| Grant Adam | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Runci | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 16.0% | 8.0% | 2.7% |
| Emily Scherer | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| John Sisk | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 12.0% | 17.1% | 10.5% | 2.2% |
| Ashley Arruda | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 6.3% | 0.9% |
| Gorham Partington | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Laura Colgan | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 11.2% | 39.9% | 24.3% |
| Molly Arndt | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 17.1% | 67.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.