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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University-0.79+2.62vs Predicted
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2University of Delaware-0.59+1.10vs Predicted
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3American University-0.86+0.23vs Predicted
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4Washington College-2.27+1.56vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College-0.91-1.50vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-1.04-2.23vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-2.02-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.62Princeton University-0.7914.8%1st Place
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3.1University of Delaware-0.5922.5%1st Place
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3.23American University-0.8621.8%1st Place
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5.56Washington College-2.273.9%1st Place
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3.5SUNY Maritime College-0.9117.4%1st Place
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3.77SUNY Stony Brook-1.0413.9%1st Place
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5.21Princeton University-2.025.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bracklinn Williams | 14.8% | 17.1% | 17.0% | 16.4% | 17.5% | 11.8% | 5.5% |
Olivia Coffill | 22.5% | 19.9% | 18.1% | 16.1% | 13.8% | 6.9% | 2.8% |
Hannah Arey | 21.8% | 17.7% | 18.9% | 15.9% | 12.8% | 9.0% | 4.0% |
Nora Ciak | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 20.9% | 44.2% |
Grace Wilson | 17.4% | 17.4% | 16.5% | 16.4% | 15.6% | 12.2% | 4.5% |
Alexandra Leen | 13.9% | 16.2% | 15.3% | 16.4% | 16.4% | 15.3% | 6.5% |
Ralitsa Hovanessian | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 23.8% | 32.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.