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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.64+7.06vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.97+4.81vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.58+8.98vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.54+0.80vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.06+1.27vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.98+0.63vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.91-0.12vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.06+1.92vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61-1.15vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College0.73+1.42vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College1.64-3.05vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.76-4.28vs Predicted
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13Yale University1.59-5.15vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.67-2.82vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.37-2.57vs Predicted
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16Harvard University0.93-5.42vs Predicted
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17Bates College-0.86-1.32vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College-1.89-1.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.06Brown University1.640.1%1st Place
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6.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.970.1%1st Place
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11.98University of Vermont0.580.0%1st Place
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4.8Boston College2.540.2%1st Place
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6.27Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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6.63Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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6.88University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
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9.92University of Rhode Island1.060.0%1st Place
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7.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.1%1st Place
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11.42Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
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7.95Dartmouth College1.640.1%1st Place
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7.72Tufts University1.760.1%1st Place
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7.85Yale University1.590.1%1st Place
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11.18Northeastern University0.670.0%1st Place
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12.43Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.370.0%1st Place
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10.58Harvard University0.930.0%1st Place
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15.68Bates College-0.860.0%1st Place
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16.98Middlebury College-1.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Adam | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pinto | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Runci | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 15.2% | 7.6% | 2.5% |
| John (Jack) Plavan | 16.3% | 14.4% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Higham | 10.0% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Holder | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Monahan | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Johnson | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Emily Scherer | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 6.2% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Petru Neagu | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Arruda | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 5.6% | 1.2% |
| John Sisk | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 17.8% | 11.7% | 2.2% |
| Gorham Partington | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 0.9% |
| Laura Colgan | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 41.9% | 23.5% |
| Molly Arndt | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 16.7% | 68.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.