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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.76+6.58vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.06+4.51vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.97+3.79vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.06+5.79vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.36+0.33vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.54-1.21vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.73+4.18vs Predicted
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8Yale University1.59-0.06vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.67+2.36vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.98-3.16vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.58+0.78vs Predicted
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12Harvard University0.93-1.24vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.91-6.28vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College1.64-6.40vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.37-2.64vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.78-4.93vs Predicted
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17Bates College-0.86-1.36vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College-1.89-1.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.58Tufts University1.760.1%1st Place
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6.51Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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6.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.970.1%1st Place
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9.79University of Rhode Island1.060.0%1st Place
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5.33Brown University2.360.1%1st Place
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4.79Boston College2.540.1%1st Place
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11.18Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
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7.94Yale University1.590.1%1st Place
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11.36Northeastern University0.670.0%1st Place
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6.84Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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11.78University of Vermont0.580.0%1st Place
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10.76Harvard University0.930.0%1st Place
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6.72University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
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7.6Dartmouth College1.640.1%1st Place
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12.36Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.370.0%1st Place
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11.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology0.780.0%1st Place
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15.64Bates College-0.860.0%1st Place
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16.94Middlebury College-1.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mulcahy | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| George Higham | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pinto | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Johnson | 3.8% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 13.5% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John (Jack) Plavan | 14.4% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 5.1% | 1.1% |
| Petru Neagu | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Arruda | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 5.5% | 0.7% |
| Chloe Holder | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Runci | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 8.1% | 2.1% |
| Gorham Partington | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 5.0% | 0.9% |
| Sydney Monahan | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| John Sisk | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 15.6% | 11.1% | 1.9% |
| Dahlia Dry | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 5.5% | 1.2% |
| Laura Colgan | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 12.2% | 38.6% | 23.4% |
| Molly Arndt | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 16.2% | 68.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.