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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.06+5.43vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.76+5.50vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University0.67+8.67vs Predicted
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4Yale University1.59+3.84vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.58+6.60vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.98+0.47vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.35+1.86vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College1.64-0.35vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.97-2.59vs Predicted
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10Boston College1.62-1.95vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.36-5.67vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.91-4.99vs Predicted
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13Bates College-0.86+2.44vs Predicted
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14Harvard University0.93-3.85vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.73-3.92vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.37-3.51vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island1.06-6.94vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College-1.89-1.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.43Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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7.5Tufts University1.760.1%1st Place
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11.67Northeastern University0.670.0%1st Place
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7.84Yale University1.590.1%1st Place
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11.6University of Vermont0.580.0%1st Place
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6.47Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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8.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.350.1%1st Place
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7.65Dartmouth College1.640.1%1st Place
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6.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.970.1%1st Place
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8.05Boston College1.620.1%1st Place
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5.33Brown University2.360.1%1st Place
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7.01University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
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15.44Bates College-0.860.0%1st Place
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10.15Harvard University0.930.0%1st Place
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11.08Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
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12.49Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.370.0%1st Place
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10.06University of Rhode Island1.060.0%1st Place
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16.97Middlebury College-1.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Higham | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Arruda | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 7.5% | 1.2% |
| Petru Neagu | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Runci | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 9.5% | 1.5% |
| Chloe Holder | 9.1% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abigail VanLonkhuyzen | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Michael Pinto | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Francis Selldorff | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 13.9% | 14.4% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Monahan | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Laura Colgan | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 38.3% | 22.2% |
| Gorham Partington | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 0.7% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 6.0% | 0.7% |
| John Sisk | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 16.4% | 12.1% | 2.9% |
| Thomas Johnson | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Molly Arndt | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 15.0% | 69.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.