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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont0.58+10.80vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.76+5.45vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.98+3.63vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.97+2.37vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida1.91+1.68vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.37+6.41vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.06-0.82vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.36-2.83vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.35-0.22vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College1.64-2.04vs Predicted
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11Yale University1.59-3.01vs Predicted
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12Boston College1.62-3.82vs Predicted
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13Bates College-0.86+2.50vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-1.89+3.02vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.67-3.65vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.06-5.99vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College0.73-5.74vs Predicted
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18Harvard University0.93-7.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.8University of Vermont0.580.0%1st Place
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7.45Tufts University1.760.1%1st Place
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6.63Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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6.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.970.1%1st Place
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6.68University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
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12.41Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.370.0%1st Place
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6.18Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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5.17Brown University2.360.1%1st Place
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8.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.350.0%1st Place
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7.96Dartmouth College1.640.1%1st Place
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7.99Yale University1.590.1%1st Place
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8.18Boston College1.620.1%1st Place
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15.5Bates College-0.860.0%1st Place
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17.02Middlebury College-1.890.0%1st Place
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11.35Northeastern University0.670.0%1st Place
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10.01University of Rhode Island1.060.0%1st Place
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11.26Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
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10.26Harvard University0.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Runci | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 8.6% | 2.3% |
| Patrick Mulcahy | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Chloe Holder | 9.5% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pinto | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Monahan | 8.6% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Sisk | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 15.9% | 12.6% | 2.4% |
| George Higham | 9.7% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 14.4% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abigail VanLonkhuyzen | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Petru Neagu | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Francis Selldorff | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Laura Colgan | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 11.0% | 37.0% | 24.7% |
| Molly Arndt | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 6.7% | 16.9% | 66.4% |
| Ashley Arruda | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 6.4% | 1.3% |
| Thomas Johnson | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| Charles Bresnahan | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 6.5% | 0.4% |
| Gorham Partington | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.