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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.76+6.77vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida1.91+5.20vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.36+2.62vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University0.67+7.47vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.97+1.81vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.06+4.23vs Predicted
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7Harvard University0.93+3.66vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.98-1.31vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.54-4.11vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College1.64-1.75vs Predicted
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11Bates College-0.86+4.66vs Predicted
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12Yale University1.59-3.46vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.37-0.57vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.73-2.87vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.06-8.59vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.61-7.81vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.58-4.96vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College-1.89-1.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.77Tufts University1.760.1%1st Place
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7.2University of South Florida1.910.1%1st Place
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5.62Brown University2.360.1%1st Place
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11.47Northeastern University0.670.0%1st Place
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6.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.970.1%1st Place
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10.23University of Rhode Island1.060.0%1st Place
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10.66Harvard University0.930.0%1st Place
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6.69Tufts University1.980.1%1st Place
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4.89Boston College2.540.1%1st Place
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8.25Dartmouth College1.640.1%1st Place
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15.66Bates College-0.860.0%1st Place
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8.54Yale University1.590.1%1st Place
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12.43Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.370.0%1st Place
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11.13Connecticut College0.730.0%1st Place
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6.41Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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8.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.610.0%1st Place
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12.04University of Vermont0.580.0%1st Place
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16.98Middlebury College-1.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Mulcahy | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Monahan | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Zonnenberg | 11.8% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Arruda | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 6.9% | 1.1% |
| Michael Pinto | 8.5% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Johnson | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Gorham Partington | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 4.2% | 0.6% |
| Chloe Holder | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John (Jack) Plavan | 14.8% | 14.6% | 12.6% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Laura Colgan | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 12.1% | 37.8% | 24.2% |
| Petru Neagu | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| John Sisk | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 18.1% | 10.8% | 3.0% |
| Miya Preyer | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 6.1% | 1.0% |
| George Higham | 9.9% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Scherer | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Runci | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 15.7% | 10.0% | 1.4% |
| Molly Arndt | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 5.5% | 16.9% | 67.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.