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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University-0.81+1.04vs Predicted
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2Penn State University-2.41+2.23vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-1.26-0.46vs Predicted
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4Penn State University-3.19+1.41vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.36-0.86vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh-2.59-1.52vs Predicted
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7Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.82-0.64vs Predicted
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8Penn State Behrend-4.23-1.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.04Syracuse University-0.810.4%1st Place
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4.23Penn State University-2.410.1%1st Place
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2.54Virginia Tech-1.260.3%1st Place
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5.41Penn State University-3.190.0%1st Place
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4.14University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.360.1%1st Place
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4.48University of Pittsburgh-2.590.1%1st Place
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6.36Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.820.0%1st Place
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6.79Penn State Behrend-4.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Smith | 43.4% | 28.3% | 15.4% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kristian Sonsteby | 8.6% | 10.5% | 15.9% | 19.9% | 18.4% | 15.4% | 8.6% | 2.7% |
| David Fehrle | 26.5% | 29.5% | 20.5% | 14.5% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Victoria Castano | 3.8% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 16.1% | 21.8% | 22.0% | 11.5% |
| Lauryn Schiller | 7.5% | 12.1% | 18.8% | 18.4% | 17.3% | 17.1% | 7.4% | 1.4% |
| McKenzie Brown | 6.8% | 9.2% | 14.0% | 18.1% | 21.4% | 16.6% | 9.2% | 4.7% |
| Shane Parker | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 28.1% | 32.7% |
| Nicholas Sova | 0.8% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 11.7% | 23.6% | 47.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.