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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University-0.81+1.02vs Predicted
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2Penn State University-2.41+2.24vs Predicted
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3University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.36+1.11vs Predicted
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4Penn State University-3.19+1.45vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-1.26-2.44vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh-2.59-1.53vs Predicted
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8Penn State Behrend-4.23-1.14vs Predicted
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9Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.82-2.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.02Syracuse University-0.810.4%1st Place
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4.24Penn State University-2.410.1%1st Place
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4.11University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.360.1%1st Place
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5.45Penn State University-3.190.0%1st Place
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2.56Virginia Tech-1.260.3%1st Place
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4.47University of Pittsburgh-2.590.1%1st Place
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6.86Penn State Behrend-4.230.0%1st Place
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6.29Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Smith | 43.7% | 28.5% | 15.7% | 8.0% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kristian Sonsteby | 8.8% | 10.1% | 14.8% | 20.4% | 19.2% | 15.3% | 9.6% | 1.8% |
| Lauryn Schiller | 8.5% | 12.1% | 16.9% | 20.2% | 18.1% | 15.6% | 6.6% | 2.0% |
| Victoria Castano | 4.1% | 4.5% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 15.1% | 21.7% | 23.3% | 11.7% |
| David Fehrle | 25.5% | 30.1% | 20.3% | 14.4% | 7.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| McKenzie Brown | 6.8% | 9.0% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 20.0% | 16.9% | 10.3% | 4.4% |
| Nicholas Sova | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 11.6% | 18.6% | 52.8% |
| Shane Parker | 1.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 10.7% | 16.3% | 30.7% | 27.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.