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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University-0.81+1.02vs Predicted
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3Penn State University-2.41+1.20vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-1.26-1.48vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.36-0.84vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh-2.59-1.48vs Predicted
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7Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.82-0.68vs Predicted
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8Penn State University-3.19-2.53vs Predicted
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9Penn State Behrend-4.23-2.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.02Syracuse University-0.810.4%1st Place
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4.2Penn State University-2.410.1%1st Place
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2.52Virginia Tech-1.260.3%1st Place
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4.16University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.360.1%1st Place
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4.52University of Pittsburgh-2.590.1%1st Place
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6.32Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.820.0%1st Place
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5.47Penn State University-3.190.0%1st Place
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6.78Penn State Behrend-4.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Smith | 44.2% | 27.6% | 16.1% | 7.6% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kristian Sonsteby | 8.3% | 10.4% | 17.7% | 19.2% | 19.1% | 13.8% | 9.0% | 2.5% |
| David Fehrle | 26.9% | 29.7% | 20.8% | 13.6% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Lauryn Schiller | 8.0% | 13.0% | 16.0% | 18.3% | 19.8% | 15.2% | 7.1% | 2.6% |
| McKenzie Brown | 6.2% | 9.1% | 14.5% | 18.4% | 18.1% | 19.2% | 11.1% | 3.4% |
| Shane Parker | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 12.3% | 14.7% | 26.2% | 31.8% |
| Victoria Castano | 3.6% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 12.3% | 14.8% | 22.5% | 20.4% | 13.7% |
| Nicholas Sova | 0.8% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 11.5% | 25.5% | 45.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.