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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.29+3.21vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.21+0.94vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.16+0.56vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.92-0.73vs Predicted
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5Columbia University0.44-0.90vs Predicted
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6Fordham University-0.32-0.50vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-0.97-0.29vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College-0.52-2.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.21U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.2910.9%1st Place
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2.94Cornell University1.2124.9%1st Place
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3.56University of Pennsylvania1.1616.6%1st Place
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3.27Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.9220.2%1st Place
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4.1Columbia University0.4413.2%1st Place
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5.5Fordham University-0.326.2%1st Place
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6.71Princeton University-0.972.4%1st Place
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5.7SUNY Maritime College-0.525.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Annika VanderHorst | 10.9% | 12.2% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 18.2% | 15.0% | 10.7% | 3.4% |
Gilda Dondona | 24.9% | 21.5% | 18.8% | 15.2% | 11.5% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
Adra Ivancich | 16.6% | 18.4% | 16.6% | 16.2% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 5.8% | 1.7% |
Deana Fedulova | 20.2% | 18.8% | 18.6% | 16.8% | 12.8% | 8.2% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
Elizabeth Frost | 13.2% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 15.7% | 14.8% | 15.8% | 9.7% | 3.6% |
Anna Robertson | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 12.8% | 18.9% | 22.6% | 17.7% |
Evelyn Walsh | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 9.8% | 18.9% | 51.7% |
Nicole Ostapowicz | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 16.2% | 26.5% | 20.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.