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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Delaware-0.59+1.96vs Predicted
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2Princeton University-0.79+1.60vs Predicted
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3American University-0.86+0.25vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-1.04-0.19vs Predicted
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5Washington College-2.27+0.54vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College-0.91-2.49vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-2.02-1.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.96University of Delaware-0.5923.9%1st Place
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3.6Princeton University-0.7915.3%1st Place
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3.25American University-0.8619.4%1st Place
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3.81SUNY Stony Brook-1.0414.0%1st Place
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5.54Washington College-2.274.5%1st Place
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3.51SUNY Maritime College-0.9117.3%1st Place
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5.33Princeton University-2.025.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Olivia Coffill | 23.9% | 21.9% | 18.9% | 16.0% | 10.8% | 6.2% | 2.4% |
Bracklinn Williams | 15.3% | 16.6% | 17.2% | 16.6% | 16.8% | 12.7% | 4.8% |
Hannah Arey | 19.4% | 19.4% | 18.9% | 15.3% | 15.5% | 9.0% | 2.4% |
Alexandra Leen | 14.0% | 14.2% | 16.0% | 17.4% | 16.5% | 14.9% | 7.0% |
Nora Ciak | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 11.0% | 20.2% | 44.1% |
Grace Wilson | 17.3% | 17.3% | 15.8% | 17.5% | 15.2% | 12.1% | 4.8% |
Ralitsa Hovanessian | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 14.1% | 24.9% | 34.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.