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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.74+3.68vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.93+5.51vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.72+5.33vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.57+4.64vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.37+4.43vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida4.17+0.38vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.44+2.27vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.33+1.68vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.67-0.75vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.73-1.66vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.61-2.30vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.79-3.79vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.68-0.79vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.87-2.73vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.07-0.55vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.03-4.95vs Predicted
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17University of Miami2.28-3.10vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-7.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.68Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
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7.51College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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8.33Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.64Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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9.43Tufts University3.370.1%1st Place
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6.38University of South Florida4.170.1%1st Place
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9.27U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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9.68U. S. Naval Academy3.330.1%1st Place
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8.25Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.34University of Vermont3.730.1%1st Place
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8.7Roger Williams University3.610.1%1st Place
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8.21Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.790.1%1st Place
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12.21University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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11.27University of Rhode Island2.870.0%1st Place
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14.45Salve Regina University2.070.0%1st Place
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11.05Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
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13.9University of Miami2.280.0%1st Place
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10.71St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Barnard | 16.3% | 16.8% | 12.8% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Oliver Toole | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Max Nickbarg | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| William Hutchings | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 1.7% |
| Zachary Marks | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Eric Horrocks | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Alejandro Ravelo | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.7% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Olin Davis | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Cameron Pimentel | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Sam Padnos | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Michael Russom | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 12.6% |
| Ryan Hughes | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 7.0% |
| Robert Keller | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 15.8% | 32.4% |
| Ian Towill | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 5.7% |
| Ben Jassin | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 11.6% | 16.3% | 25.4% |
| John Wallace | 3.5% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.