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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University-0.81+1.02vs Predicted
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2Penn State University-2.41+2.19vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech-1.26-0.48vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.36-0.84vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh-2.59-1.46vs Predicted
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7Penn State Behrend-4.23-0.15vs Predicted
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8Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.82-1.64vs Predicted
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9Penn State University-3.19-3.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.02Syracuse University-0.810.4%1st Place
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4.19Penn State University-2.410.1%1st Place
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2.52Virginia Tech-1.260.3%1st Place
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4.16University of Maryland/Baltimore County-2.360.1%1st Place
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4.54University of Pittsburgh-2.590.1%1st Place
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6.85Penn State Behrend-4.230.0%1st Place
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6.36Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.820.0%1st Place
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5.36Penn State University-3.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Smith | 44.1% | 27.7% | 16.3% | 7.4% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kristian Sonsteby | 8.5% | 10.3% | 17.2% | 20.2% | 18.0% | 14.6% | 9.6% | 1.6% |
| David Fehrle | 26.7% | 29.1% | 21.5% | 14.0% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Lauryn Schiller | 8.1% | 12.9% | 15.8% | 18.4% | 19.7% | 16.0% | 6.6% | 2.5% |
| McKenzie Brown | 6.2% | 9.2% | 14.0% | 18.2% | 19.0% | 18.5% | 11.1% | 3.8% |
| Nicholas Sova | 1.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 6.8% | 11.5% | 21.6% | 50.2% |
| Shane Parker | 2.5% | 2.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 14.5% | 29.2% | 31.9% |
| Victoria Castano | 2.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 12.9% | 18.1% | 21.8% | 21.2% | 9.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.