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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-1.02+1.35vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University-0.72+0.06vs Predicted
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3University of Pittsburgh-2.36+1.23vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland/Baltimore County-3.00+1.33vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-3.16+0.56vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-2.16-2.08vs Predicted
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7Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.59-0.78vs Predicted
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8Penn State Behrend-3.73-1.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.35Virginia Tech-1.020.3%1st Place
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2.06Syracuse University-0.720.4%1st Place
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4.23University of Pittsburgh-2.360.1%1st Place
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5.33University of Maryland/Baltimore County-3.000.0%1st Place
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5.56Penn State University-3.160.0%1st Place
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3.92Penn State University-2.160.1%1st Place
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6.22Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.590.0%1st Place
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6.33Penn State Behrend-3.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Corckran | 31.1% | 29.0% | 21.8% | 11.9% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Dane Brazinski | 40.4% | 30.3% | 18.1% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Westrick | 8.1% | 10.4% | 15.5% | 22.0% | 17.8% | 16.0% | 6.9% | 3.3% |
| William Jones | 3.8% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 12.2% | 19.9% | 17.9% | 18.6% | 13.2% |
| Jessica Traub | 3.2% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 13.0% | 15.2% | 20.2% | 20.3% | 16.4% |
| Dean Swanson | 9.6% | 13.2% | 19.9% | 19.7% | 18.8% | 10.6% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| Mitchell Gonzales | 2.2% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 15.6% | 23.7% | 31.7% |
| Anthony Perini | 1.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 17.1% | 24.4% | 32.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.