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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-1.02+1.35vs Predicted
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2Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.59+4.21vs Predicted
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3Syracuse University-0.72-0.95vs Predicted
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4University of Pittsburgh-2.36+0.26vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-3.16+0.54vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland/Baltimore County-3.00-0.77vs Predicted
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7Penn State University-2.16-3.00vs Predicted
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9Penn State Behrend-3.73-2.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.35Virginia Tech-1.020.3%1st Place
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6.21Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.590.0%1st Place
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2.05Syracuse University-0.720.4%1st Place
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4.26University of Pittsburgh-2.360.1%1st Place
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5.54Penn State University-3.160.0%1st Place
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5.23University of Maryland/Baltimore County-3.000.0%1st Place
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4.0Penn State University-2.160.1%1st Place
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6.35Penn State Behrend-3.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Corckran | 30.2% | 31.9% | 19.7% | 10.7% | 6.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Mitchell Gonzales | 2.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 14.9% | 25.8% | 30.7% |
| Dane Brazinski | 41.2% | 29.6% | 16.9% | 9.0% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Westrick | 7.6% | 10.4% | 16.9% | 20.0% | 17.8% | 16.8% | 7.1% | 3.4% |
| Jessica Traub | 3.9% | 3.6% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 18.7% | 18.7% | 20.5% | 16.0% |
| William Jones | 4.7% | 4.9% | 9.0% | 15.5% | 17.9% | 18.1% | 17.8% | 12.1% |
| Dean Swanson | 9.1% | 12.1% | 19.4% | 21.3% | 16.4% | 12.7% | 6.6% | 2.4% |
| Anthony Perini | 1.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 11.1% | 17.2% | 21.3% | 35.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.