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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University-0.72+1.07vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-0.50-0.14vs Predicted
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4Penn State University-2.16-0.26vs Predicted
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5University of Pittsburgh-2.36-1.00vs Predicted
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7Penn State University-3.16-1.93vs Predicted
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8Penn State Behrend-3.73-2.25vs Predicted
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9Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.59-3.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.07Syracuse University-0.720.4%1st Place
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1.86Virginia Tech-0.500.4%1st Place
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3.74Penn State University-2.160.1%1st Place
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4.0University of Pittsburgh-2.360.1%1st Place
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5.07Penn State University-3.160.0%1st Place
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5.75Penn State Behrend-3.730.0%1st Place
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5.5Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.590.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dane Brazinski | 36.7% | 33.5% | 19.3% | 7.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| John Carroll | 44.0% | 34.7% | 14.6% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dean Swanson | 7.5% | 11.4% | 25.4% | 26.2% | 16.9% | 9.7% | 2.9% |
| Caroline Westrick | 5.8% | 10.7% | 20.4% | 24.6% | 21.4% | 13.5% | 3.6% |
| Jessica Traub | 2.3% | 4.2% | 9.5% | 15.6% | 24.5% | 24.3% | 19.6% |
| Anthony Perini | 1.6% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 10.3% | 16.8% | 24.3% | 40.8% |
| Mitchell Gonzales | 2.1% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 10.9% | 16.6% | 27.3% | 33.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.