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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University-0.72+1.10vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-0.50-0.14vs Predicted
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3University of Pittsburgh-2.36+1.01vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-2.16-1.27vs Predicted
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6Penn State Behrend-3.73-0.21vs Predicted
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8Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.59-2.41vs Predicted
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9Penn State University-3.16-4.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.1Syracuse University-0.720.4%1st Place
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1.86Virginia Tech-0.500.4%1st Place
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4.01University of Pittsburgh-2.360.1%1st Place
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3.73Penn State University-2.160.1%1st Place
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5.79Penn State Behrend-3.730.0%1st Place
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5.59Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.590.0%1st Place
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4.91Penn State University-3.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dane Brazinski | 35.7% | 32.9% | 21.0% | 7.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| John Carroll | 43.8% | 34.3% | 15.7% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Westrick | 6.8% | 9.0% | 19.4% | 28.0% | 19.7% | 12.2% | 4.9% |
| Dean Swanson | 7.8% | 12.4% | 23.6% | 26.0% | 18.0% | 10.0% | 2.2% |
| Anthony Perini | 0.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 9.8% | 15.5% | 22.1% | 44.3% |
| Mitchell Gonzales | 1.8% | 2.5% | 5.6% | 10.3% | 18.3% | 27.4% | 34.1% |
| Jessica Traub | 3.2% | 5.6% | 10.6% | 14.2% | 24.5% | 27.5% | 14.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.