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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University-0.72+1.22vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech-0.500.00vs Predicted
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3Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.76+2.14vs Predicted
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4Penn State University-2.16+0.24vs Predicted
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5University of Maryland/Baltimore County-3.00+0.53vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh-2.36-1.50vs Predicted
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7Penn State Behrend-3.73-0.36vs Predicted
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9Penn State University-3.16-3.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.22Syracuse University-0.720.3%1st Place
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2.0Virginia Tech-0.500.4%1st Place
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5.14Indiana University of Pennsylvania-2.760.0%1st Place
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4.24Penn State University-2.160.1%1st Place
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5.53University of Maryland/Baltimore County-3.000.0%1st Place
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4.5University of Pittsburgh-2.360.1%1st Place
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6.64Penn State Behrend-3.730.0%1st Place
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5.73Penn State University-3.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dane Brazinski | 33.5% | 31.7% | 20.4% | 9.7% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| John Carroll | 40.2% | 32.7% | 17.1% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nolan Grimes | 4.5% | 6.2% | 10.5% | 14.7% | 16.9% | 19.3% | 16.6% | 11.3% |
| Dean Swanson | 7.2% | 11.2% | 16.7% | 20.7% | 18.2% | 14.7% | 8.1% | 3.2% |
| William Jones | 3.4% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 13.0% | 15.7% | 18.4% | 21.8% | 15.5% |
| Caroline Westrick | 6.6% | 7.4% | 17.6% | 19.1% | 18.4% | 14.2% | 11.9% | 4.8% |
| Anthony Perini | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 13.1% | 18.2% | 47.3% |
| Jessica Traub | 2.4% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 10.6% | 16.6% | 18.8% | 23.0% | 17.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.