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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.53+1.04vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.74-0.21vs Predicted
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4University of Oregon0.77-1.31vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-1.08-0.53vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-1.81-0.82vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-1.44-2.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.04University of Washington1.530.3%1st Place
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1.79University of Washington1.740.5%1st Place
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2.69University of Oregon0.770.2%1st Place
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4.47Western Washington University-1.080.0%1st Place
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5.18Western Washington University-1.810.0%1st Place
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4.83Western Washington University-1.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Skeel | 33.8% | 36.3% | 23.5% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Karl Skeel | 47.2% | 30.8% | 18.0% | 3.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Arthur Bruce | 15.8% | 22.3% | 42.5% | 16.1% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Wyatt Keysor | 1.4% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 34.0% | 32.4% | 18.9% |
| Richard Hill | 0.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 15.9% | 27.8% | 50.0% |
| Fiona McBride | 1.2% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 25.1% | 35.6% | 30.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.