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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.53+1.02vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University-1.44+2.80vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.74-1.19vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon0.77-2.32vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-1.81-0.82vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-1.08-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.02University of Washington1.530.4%1st Place
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4.8Western Washington University-1.440.0%1st Place
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1.81University of Washington1.740.4%1st Place
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2.68University of Oregon0.770.2%1st Place
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5.18Western Washington University-1.810.0%1st Place
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4.51Western Washington University-1.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Skeel | 35.3% | 33.9% | 24.6% | 5.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Fiona McBride | 1.3% | 2.5% | 6.1% | 26.0% | 33.6% | 30.5% |
| Karl Skeel | 44.2% | 35.9% | 15.2% | 4.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Arthur Bruce | 16.1% | 22.7% | 41.9% | 15.5% | 3.7% | 0.1% |
| Richard Hill | 1.1% | 1.7% | 4.4% | 15.1% | 26.6% | 51.1% |
| Wyatt Keysor | 2.0% | 3.3% | 7.8% | 33.7% | 35.0% | 18.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.