← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University4.74+3.75vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University3.72+6.45vs Predicted
-
3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.79+5.14vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston3.93+3.24vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.44+4.32vs Predicted
-
6Old Dominion University3.67+2.38vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+3.95vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University3.37+1.55vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University3.61-0.44vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Naval Academy3.33+0.08vs Predicted
-
11University of Pennsylvania2.68+1.45vs Predicted
-
12Harvard University4.50-6.43vs Predicted
-
13Yale University3.57-4.37vs Predicted
-
14Boston University3.03-3.28vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont3.73-6.84vs Predicted
-
16Salve Regina University2.07-1.46vs Predicted
-
17University of Miami2.28-3.02vs Predicted
-
18University of Rhode Island2.87-6.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.75Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
-
8.45Stanford University3.720.0%1st Place
-
8.14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.790.1%1st Place
-
7.24College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
-
9.32U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.440.1%1st Place
-
8.38Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
-
10.95St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
-
9.55Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
-
8.56Roger Williams University3.610.1%1st Place
-
10.08U. S. Naval Academy3.330.1%1st Place
-
12.45University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
-
5.57Harvard University4.500.1%1st Place
-
8.63Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
-
10.72Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
-
8.16University of Vermont3.730.1%1st Place
-
14.54Salve Regina University2.070.0%1st Place
-
13.98University of Miami2.280.0%1st Place
-
11.53University of Rhode Island2.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Barnard | 14.8% | 16.1% | 14.6% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Toole | 4.8% | 4.3% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Sam Padnos | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Eric Horrocks | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| John Wallace | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.4% |
| William Hutchings | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Cameron Pimentel | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Alejandro Ravelo | 5.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 2.8% |
| Michael Russom | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 12.1% |
| Tedd Himler | 14.0% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Max Nickbarg | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Ian Towill | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.2% |
| Olin Davis | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Robert Keller | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 16.1% | 32.5% |
| Ben Jassin | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 16.5% | 25.8% |
| Ryan Hughes | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.