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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.74+0.66vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.79+0.48vs Predicted
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3University of Oregon0.77-0.49vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-1.81+0.09vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-1.08-1.52vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-1.44-2.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.66University of Washington1.740.5%1st Place
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2.48University of Washington0.790.2%1st Place
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2.51University of Oregon0.770.2%1st Place
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5.09Western Washington University-1.810.0%1st Place
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4.48Western Washington University-1.080.0%1st Place
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4.78Western Washington University-1.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Skeel | 54.1% | 29.6% | 12.8% | 3.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Austin Hauter | 21.5% | 29.1% | 33.5% | 12.4% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Arthur Bruce | 20.0% | 29.2% | 34.1% | 14.0% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Richard Hill | 0.9% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 16.7% | 27.7% | 47.2% |
| Wyatt Keysor | 2.0% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 29.5% | 32.8% | 21.1% |
| Fiona McBride | 1.5% | 3.1% | 6.5% | 24.3% | 33.9% | 30.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.