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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-0.48+2.14vs Predicted
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2University of Washington-0.10+0.52vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.72+0.44vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-1.33+0.31vs Predicted
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5University of Oregon-1.10-0.94vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-0.79-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.14University of Washington-0.480.2%1st Place
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2.52University of Washington-0.100.3%1st Place
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3.44Western Washington University-0.720.2%1st Place
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4.31Western Washington University-1.330.1%1st Place
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4.06University of Oregon-1.100.1%1st Place
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3.53Western Washington University-0.790.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Tutton | 19.1% | 21.3% | 17.9% | 18.9% | 13.4% | 9.4% |
| John Kauffman | 32.4% | 24.1% | 18.4% | 13.0% | 8.2% | 3.9% |
| Camille Ottaway | 16.0% | 16.2% | 19.2% | 16.8% | 20.5% | 11.3% |
| Taylor Bayly | 8.2% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 21.6% | 33.3% |
| Tillie Morris | 9.4% | 12.2% | 14.9% | 17.5% | 18.5% | 27.5% |
| Maxwell Dodd | 14.9% | 15.6% | 17.9% | 19.2% | 17.8% | 14.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.