← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Washington0.79+0.86vs Predicted
-
2University of Washington-0.10+0.79vs Predicted
-
3Western Washington University-0.72+0.63vs Predicted
-
4University of Oregon-1.29+0.41vs Predicted
-
5Western Washington University-0.79-1.15vs Predicted
-
6Western Washington University-1.33-1.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.86University of Washington0.790.5%1st Place
-
2.79University of Washington-0.100.2%1st Place
-
3.63Western Washington University-0.720.1%1st Place
-
4.41University of Oregon-1.290.1%1st Place
-
3.85Western Washington University-0.790.1%1st Place
-
4.47Western Washington University-1.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Hauter | 48.6% | 29.1% | 14.0% | 5.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| John Kauffman | 21.5% | 26.3% | 21.5% | 16.5% | 10.6% | 3.6% |
| Camille Ottaway | 10.4% | 15.3% | 20.3% | 21.1% | 21.1% | 11.8% |
| Marelie Vorster | 5.9% | 7.6% | 12.9% | 18.4% | 23.7% | 31.5% |
| Maxwell Dodd | 8.8% | 13.3% | 17.3% | 23.0% | 20.3% | 17.3% |
| Taylor Bayly | 4.8% | 8.4% | 14.0% | 15.4% | 22.5% | 34.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.