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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University4.50+4.75vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.67+6.93vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.93+4.83vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.68+8.52vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.33+5.02vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+5.29vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University4.74-2.17vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.44+1.55vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.07+5.67vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.72-1.29vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.79-2.59vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.57-2.47vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida4.17-6.39vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont3.73-5.81vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University3.61-6.14vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.37-6.00vs Predicted
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17University of Miami2.28-2.84vs Predicted
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18Boston University3.03-6.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.75Harvard University4.500.1%1st Place
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8.93Old Dominion University3.670.0%1st Place
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7.83College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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12.52University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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10.02U. S. Naval Academy3.330.0%1st Place
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11.29St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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4.83Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
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9.55U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.440.0%1st Place
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14.67Salve Regina University2.070.0%1st Place
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8.71Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.41Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.790.1%1st Place
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9.53Yale University3.570.0%1st Place
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6.61University of South Florida4.170.1%1st Place
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8.19University of Vermont3.730.1%1st Place
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8.86Roger Williams University3.610.1%1st Place
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10.0Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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14.16University of Miami2.280.0%1st Place
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11.13Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tedd Himler | 12.5% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Michael Russom | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 15.9% | 12.3% |
| Alejandro Ravelo | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 3.2% |
| John Wallace | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 6.5% |
| Chris Barnard | 15.6% | 15.8% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Horrocks | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.0% |
| Robert Keller | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 17.7% | 32.8% |
| Oliver Toole | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Sam Padnos | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Max Nickbarg | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Zachary Marks | 10.5% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Olin Davis | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Cameron Pimentel | 5.8% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| William Hutchings | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% |
| Ben Jassin | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 16.5% | 27.2% |
| Ian Towill | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 5.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.