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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1American University-0.86+2.17vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College-0.91+1.42vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.79+0.48vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-0.59-1.07vs Predicted
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5Washington College-2.27+0.47vs Predicted
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6Princeton University-2.02-0.80vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook-1.49-2.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.17American University-0.8621.2%1st Place
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3.42SUNY Maritime College-0.9117.2%1st Place
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3.48Princeton University-0.7916.7%1st Place
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2.93University of Delaware-0.5924.6%1st Place
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5.47Washington College-2.274.6%1st Place
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5.2Princeton University-2.026.4%1st Place
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4.33SUNY Stony Brook-1.499.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Arey | 21.2% | 18.4% | 19.7% | 16.9% | 13.8% | 7.6% | 2.5% |
| Grace Wilson | 17.2% | 17.2% | 19.1% | 17.7% | 14.8% | 10.1% | 4.0% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 16.7% | 17.8% | 16.6% | 18.1% | 15.6% | 11.1% | 4.1% |
| Olivia Coffill | 24.6% | 22.4% | 18.6% | 14.2% | 11.6% | 6.7% | 1.8% |
| Nora Ciak | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 21.3% | 41.9% |
| Ralitsa Hovanessian | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 15.4% | 23.8% | 32.0% |
| Cassandra Edwards | 9.3% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 15.2% | 18.0% | 19.4% | 13.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.