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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.93+6.81vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.57+7.32vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.37+7.16vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida4.17+2.65vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.67+3.60vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.44+3.71vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.73+1.41vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University2.07+6.44vs Predicted
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9Harvard University4.50-3.58vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.72-1.29vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University4.74-6.06vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.33-1.55vs Predicted
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13University of Miami2.28+0.78vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.79-6.02vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-3.84vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.87-4.00vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.68-4.27vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University3.61-9.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.81College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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9.32Yale University3.570.0%1st Place
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10.16Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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6.65University of South Florida4.170.1%1st Place
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8.6Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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9.71U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.440.0%1st Place
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8.41University of Vermont3.730.1%1st Place
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14.44Salve Regina University2.070.0%1st Place
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5.42Harvard University4.500.1%1st Place
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8.71Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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4.94Georgetown University4.740.2%1st Place
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10.45U. S. Naval Academy3.330.0%1st Place
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13.78University of Miami2.280.0%1st Place
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7.98Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.790.1%1st Place
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11.16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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12.0University of Rhode Island2.870.0%1st Place
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12.73University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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8.73Roger Williams University3.610.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zeke Horowitz | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Max Nickbarg | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| William Hutchings | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 1.7% |
| Zachary Marks | 9.4% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Eric Horrocks | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 2.2% |
| Olin Davis | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Robert Keller | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 16.2% | 32.9% |
| Tedd Himler | 12.2% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Toole | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Chris Barnard | 15.7% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alejandro Ravelo | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 3.5% |
| Ben Jassin | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 16.0% | 24.5% |
| Sam Padnos | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| John Wallace | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% |
| Ryan Hughes | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.6% |
| Michael Russom | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 15.2% | 13.3% |
| Cameron Pimentel | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.