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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Delaware-0.59+1.89vs Predicted
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2Princeton University-0.79+1.47vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College-0.91+0.44vs Predicted
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4American University-0.86-0.79vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-2.02+0.10vs Predicted
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6Washington College-2.27-0.52vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook-1.49-2.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.89University of Delaware-0.5924.6%1st Place
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3.47Princeton University-0.7917.0%1st Place
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3.44SUNY Maritime College-0.9117.1%1st Place
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3.21American University-0.8619.2%1st Place
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5.1Princeton University-2.026.6%1st Place
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5.48Washington College-2.275.4%1st Place
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4.4SUNY Stony Brook-1.4910.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Coffill | 24.6% | 22.0% | 19.2% | 16.0% | 11.3% | 5.3% | 1.5% |
| Bracklinn Williams | 17.0% | 18.1% | 17.0% | 16.5% | 16.0% | 10.5% | 4.9% |
| Grace Wilson | 17.1% | 17.6% | 17.9% | 17.8% | 14.9% | 10.4% | 4.2% |
| Hannah Arey | 19.2% | 20.2% | 19.1% | 17.4% | 13.2% | 8.1% | 2.9% |
| Ralitsa Hovanessian | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 15.8% | 22.2% | 30.3% |
| Nora Ciak | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 22.8% | 41.0% |
| Cassandra Edwards | 10.2% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 13.7% | 17.1% | 20.5% | 15.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.