Race 1A

shamrock-scramble

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Kevin Gallagher 14.8% 17.6% 18.2% 17.8% 16.6% 10.3% 3.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Sherman Thompson 20.2% 19.3% 20.2% 15.5% 13.2% 7.8% 3.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Thomas Quinn 13.9% 14.9% 15.7% 17.8% 16.6% 14.5% 4.8% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Bobby Sessions 8.2% 10.9% 11.4% 13.5% 17.8% 23.3% 9.5% 4.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Solomon Dworsky 7.2% 11.0% 9.7% 14.7% 16.5% 20.8% 14.8% 4.0% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Grace Hillman 0.5% 1.6% 1.2% 2.0% 3.6% 4.7% 15.0% 29.8% 25.8% 12.8% 3.0%
Reed Weston 32.5% 21.8% 18.9% 13.2% 8.2% 3.5% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
James Kennedy 1.9% 2.0% 2.4% 4.1% 4.5% 9.9% 31.1% 23.6% 15.9% 4.0% 0.6%
Davis Crawford 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.9% 0.9% 3.6% 8.1% 13.9% 36.7% 34.6%
Collin Kemper 0.4% 0.4% 1.5% 1.0% 2.0% 3.8% 10.7% 21.1% 32.8% 19.7% 6.6%
Garrett Hall 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.1% 0.5% 1.9% 5.4% 9.4% 26.7% 55.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.