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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.93+6.83vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.74+2.82vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.33+7.22vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+6.96vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida4.17+1.60vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.72+2.40vs Predicted
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7Harvard University4.50-1.49vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.67+0.50vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.68+3.53vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.73-1.39vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.61-2.02vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.07+2.76vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.79-5.00vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.57-5.31vs Predicted
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15University of Miami2.28-1.13vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.87-4.12vs Predicted
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17Boston University3.03-5.74vs Predicted
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18Tufts University3.37-8.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.83College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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4.82Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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10.22U. S. Naval Academy3.330.0%1st Place
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10.96St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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6.6University of South Florida4.170.1%1st Place
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8.4Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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5.51Harvard University4.500.1%1st Place
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8.5Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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12.53University of Pennsylvania2.680.0%1st Place
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8.61University of Vermont3.730.1%1st Place
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8.98Roger Williams University3.610.1%1st Place
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14.76Salve Regina University2.070.0%1st Place
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8.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.790.1%1st Place
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8.69Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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13.87University of Miami2.280.0%1st Place
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11.88University of Rhode Island2.870.0%1st Place
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11.26Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
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9.6Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zeke Horowitz | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Chris Barnard | 12.7% | 15.5% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alejandro Ravelo | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| John Wallace | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 5.0% |
| Zachary Marks | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Toole | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Tedd Himler | 12.5% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Michael Russom | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 12.8% | 14.4% | 9.8% |
| Olin Davis | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Cameron Pimentel | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Robert Keller | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 17.8% | 35.5% |
| Sam Padnos | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Max Nickbarg | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Ben Jassin | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 15.0% | 23.6% |
| Ryan Hughes | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.5% |
| Ian Towill | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 5.3% |
| William Hutchings | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.