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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame1.24+2.52vs Predicted
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2University of Michigan1.41+1.20vs Predicted
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3Marquette University0.67+1.61vs Predicted
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4Marquette University0.49+0.91vs Predicted
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5Northwestern University1.13-1.34vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.75-3.27vs Predicted
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7Saint Mary's College-1.62+0.80vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-1.04-0.95vs Predicted
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9John Carroll University-3.16+0.77vs Predicted
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10University of Notre Dame-2.13-1.47vs Predicted
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11Ohio State University-3.73-0.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.52University of Notre Dame1.240.2%1st Place
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3.2University of Michigan1.410.2%1st Place
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4.61Marquette University0.670.1%1st Place
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4.91Marquette University0.490.1%1st Place
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3.66Northwestern University1.130.2%1st Place
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2.73University of Wisconsin1.750.3%1st Place
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7.8Saint Mary's College-1.620.0%1st Place
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7.05University of Notre Dame-1.040.0%1st Place
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9.77John Carroll University-3.160.0%1st Place
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8.53University of Notre Dame-2.130.0%1st Place
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10.23Ohio State University-3.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gallagher | 15.1% | 18.4% | 16.2% | 19.8% | 16.2% | 9.7% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sherman Thompson | 20.8% | 19.1% | 18.8% | 16.7% | 13.5% | 8.0% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bobby Sessions | 8.7% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 15.3% | 16.3% | 22.5% | 13.0% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Solomon Dworsky | 7.3% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 17.9% | 22.3% | 14.7% | 6.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Quinn | 15.9% | 16.5% | 16.1% | 17.6% | 14.5% | 12.0% | 5.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reed Weston | 28.0% | 24.2% | 19.5% | 12.7% | 9.1% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Hillman | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 15.9% | 31.0% | 24.4% | 11.3% | 2.2% |
| James Kennedy | 2.3% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 10.6% | 28.3% | 25.6% | 14.2% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Davis Crawford | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 2.7% | 8.0% | 14.8% | 36.4% | 34.7% |
| Collin Kemper | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 9.6% | 18.5% | 35.4% | 19.9% | 6.7% |
| Garrett Hall | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 9.1% | 27.6% | 55.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.