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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame1.24+2.54vs Predicted
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2Marquette University0.67+2.44vs Predicted
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3Marquette University0.49+1.87vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan1.41-0.68vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.75-2.29vs Predicted
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6Northwestern University1.13-2.29vs Predicted
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7Saint Mary's College-1.62+0.79vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-1.04-0.94vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-2.13-0.42vs Predicted
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10John Carroll University-3.16-0.27vs Predicted
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11Ohio State University-3.73-0.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.54University of Notre Dame1.240.2%1st Place
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4.44Marquette University0.670.1%1st Place
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4.87Marquette University0.490.1%1st Place
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3.32University of Michigan1.410.2%1st Place
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2.71University of Wisconsin1.750.3%1st Place
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3.71Northwestern University1.130.1%1st Place
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7.79Saint Mary's College-1.620.0%1st Place
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7.06University of Notre Dame-1.040.0%1st Place
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8.58University of Notre Dame-2.130.0%1st Place
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9.73John Carroll University-3.160.0%1st Place
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10.25Ohio State University-3.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Gallagher | 15.5% | 17.7% | 16.0% | 19.0% | 16.8% | 10.8% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bobby Sessions | 9.9% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 17.9% | 19.5% | 10.8% | 4.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Solomon Dworsky | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 17.6% | 22.9% | 14.5% | 5.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sherman Thompson | 19.1% | 18.0% | 19.6% | 16.1% | 14.3% | 9.1% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reed Weston | 29.2% | 22.7% | 20.3% | 12.3% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Quinn | 13.9% | 17.8% | 15.6% | 19.0% | 13.7% | 12.0% | 6.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Hillman | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 6.0% | 16.3% | 29.7% | 25.1% | 11.0% | 2.1% |
| James Kennedy | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 10.0% | 29.9% | 25.1% | 14.4% | 4.5% | 0.5% |
| Collin Kemper | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 9.0% | 19.4% | 33.8% | 20.7% | 8.1% |
| Davis Crawford | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 3.8% | 7.9% | 15.8% | 37.3% | 32.3% |
| Garrett Hall | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 5.1% | 8.4% | 26.4% | 57.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.