Race 4A

shamrock-scramble

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Bobby Sessions 8.3% 10.3% 11.8% 14.0% 21.5% 19.9% 9.8% 3.9% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Solomon Dworsky 7.8% 9.2% 10.3% 14.7% 15.0% 23.0% 14.0% 4.4% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Kevin Gallagher 15.3% 17.5% 17.8% 16.7% 15.8% 11.0% 5.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Reed Weston 28.3% 21.7% 19.5% 14.7% 9.7% 4.6% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Thomas Quinn 16.6% 15.7% 15.9% 16.3% 15.3% 13.0% 5.6% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Sherman Thompson 19.5% 20.6% 19.2% 15.8% 11.0% 10.0% 2.7% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Grace Hillman 1.0% 2.4% 1.6% 1.8% 3.0% 4.3% 17.4% 30.1% 25.2% 11.1% 2.1%
James Kennedy 2.0% 1.5% 2.9% 3.3% 6.0% 9.6% 29.9% 25.4% 14.4% 4.5% 0.5%
Collin Kemper 0.6% 0.9% 0.6% 2.0% 2.1% 2.9% 8.8% 19.9% 33.4% 20.7% 8.1%
Davis Crawford 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 1.5% 3.3% 7.8% 16.3% 37.3% 32.3%
Garrett Hall 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 2.2% 4.9% 8.3% 26.4% 57.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.