Race 5A

shamrock-scramble

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Christian Cyrul 25.9% 22.9% 19.4% 14.7% 9.9% 5.2% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Reed Weston 23.7% 21.9% 18.9% 13.4% 11.7% 6.5% 3.3% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sherman Thompson 14.6% 15.4% 16.6% 17.1% 14.9% 12.4% 6.5% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Thomas Quinn 11.2% 12.7% 14.0% 14.8% 16.3% 15.8% 10.4% 4.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Solomon Dworsky 6.9% 7.3% 9.4% 10.2% 13.2% 16.3% 21.8% 10.4% 4.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Peter Pillari 6.0% 7.2% 8.0% 11.1% 12.9% 17.4% 21.9% 10.6% 4.3% 0.6% 0.0%
Bobby Sessions 8.8% 9.4% 9.6% 13.7% 16.1% 16.8% 15.9% 7.5% 2.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Grace Hillman 1.2% 0.6% 1.3% 1.1% 1.9% 3.4% 7.4% 21.9% 40.2% 18.0% 3.0%
James Kennedy 1.1% 2.4% 2.5% 3.1% 2.9% 5.6% 9.0% 32.8% 31.0% 7.8% 1.8%
Davis Crawford 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.5% 1.5% 5.9% 10.9% 44.7% 35.3%
Garrett Hall 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.1% 0.7% 3.6% 6.2% 28.6% 59.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.