Race 6A

shamrock-scramble

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Christian Cyrul 25.1% 22.5% 19.4% 13.5% 13.3% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bobby Sessions 7.9% 9.0% 8.7% 12.3% 16.0% 19.4% 15.8% 8.4% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Solomon Dworsky 5.9% 6.3% 9.2% 10.9% 12.6% 17.9% 22.5% 11.8% 2.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Pillari 5.0% 6.3% 7.8% 11.0% 12.6% 18.5% 22.2% 12.5% 3.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Grace Hillman 1.0% 1.1% 1.7% 1.6% 2.2% 3.5% 5.8% 18.9% 42.7% 18.4% 3.1%
Thomas Quinn 12.0% 12.6% 15.3% 16.2% 15.9% 12.7% 9.3% 4.6% 1.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Reed Weston 24.6% 21.9% 17.9% 14.5% 10.6% 7.4% 2.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Sherman Thompson 16.3% 18.2% 18.0% 16.1% 13.0% 10.6% 6.2% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
James Kennedy 1.6% 1.9% 1.7% 3.6% 3.2% 4.9% 11.9% 33.0% 28.0% 8.5% 1.7%
Garrett Hall 0.2% 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.8% 2.9% 7.2% 26.2% 61.9%
Davis Crawford 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.6% 1.8% 5.3% 11.6% 46.2% 33.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.