Race 7A

shamrock-scramble

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Bobby Sessions 6.1% 8.4% 10.6% 11.9% 16.3% 18.5% 17.2% 8.9% 2.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Christian Cyrul 28.1% 22.8% 19.2% 13.5% 9.5% 4.5% 2.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Solomon Dworsky 6.5% 6.5% 7.7% 11.7% 11.5% 17.4% 23.0% 12.2% 3.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Thomas Quinn 11.0% 11.6% 14.4% 17.2% 16.1% 15.0% 9.8% 4.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Sherman Thompson 15.2% 18.4% 16.8% 16.8% 13.0% 10.3% 7.0% 2.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Reed Weston 22.4% 22.6% 19.3% 13.0% 10.5% 7.0% 3.5% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Pillari 7.4% 7.2% 8.4% 10.9% 16.1% 16.5% 17.9% 10.6% 4.6% 0.4% 0.0%
James Kennedy 1.8% 1.5% 1.7% 3.3% 3.9% 6.9% 12.1% 32.1% 28.3% 7.7% 0.7%
Grace Hillman 1.0% 0.7% 1.6% 1.5% 2.5% 3.1% 5.0% 20.3% 42.7% 17.4% 4.2%
Garrett Hall 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.9% 3.0% 7.1% 26.5% 61.8%
Davis Crawford 0.3% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 0.7% 1.5% 4.4% 11.3% 47.5% 33.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.