Race 8A

shamrock-scramble

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Christian Cyrul 25.7% 21.9% 19.3% 15.7% 9.5% 5.9% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Solomon Dworsky 6.3% 6.9% 8.5% 11.8% 13.4% 19.3% 18.9% 11.3% 3.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Bobby Sessions 6.8% 8.8% 9.3% 11.7% 15.4% 18.7% 18.6% 8.4% 2.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Sherman Thompson 14.7% 15.2% 17.6% 17.3% 15.8% 10.8% 6.7% 1.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Pillari 6.1% 8.7% 8.5% 9.5% 13.9% 15.4% 21.1% 11.8% 4.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Thomas Quinn 11.9% 13.6% 14.0% 17.5% 15.0% 13.4% 8.8% 4.6% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Reed Weston 25.4% 21.8% 18.6% 12.5% 11.6% 6.7% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Grace Hillman 0.9% 0.7% 1.4% 1.3% 2.1% 3.2% 8.6% 20.6% 39.2% 19.1% 2.9%
James Kennedy 1.6% 2.1% 2.5% 2.4% 2.9% 6.0% 10.3% 32.5% 29.8% 8.1% 1.8%
Garrett Hall 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 2.4% 8.1% 25.8% 62.0%
Davis Crawford 0.4% 0.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.3% 0.3% 2.2% 5.5% 11.3% 46.2% 33.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.