Race 9A

shamrock-scramble

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Kevin Gallagher 14.8% 15.2% 16.1% 14.7% 16.8% 11.8% 8.0% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Peter Pillari 6.6% 7.8% 10.2% 10.9% 11.5% 18.1% 19.3% 11.7% 3.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Reed Weston 24.4% 23.0% 18.1% 14.2% 10.4% 6.4% 2.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Bobby Sessions 8.0% 8.9% 10.1% 11.3% 15.3% 17.1% 17.2% 10.0% 1.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Solomon Dworsky 7.9% 8.2% 10.5% 11.0% 11.6% 16.1% 18.3% 12.4% 3.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Sherman Thompson 20.8% 16.8% 16.2% 15.4% 13.1% 8.0% 6.8% 2.3% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Grace Hillman 0.9% 1.8% 2.2% 1.8% 1.6% 3.9% 6.2% 18.9% 42.7% 17.2% 2.8%
James Kennedy 1.9% 1.5% 1.6% 3.1% 4.7% 6.2% 12.0% 32.3% 27.6% 7.5% 1.6%
Davis Crawford 0.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.2% 0.5% 0.8% 1.4% 4.1% 11.6% 45.8% 34.8%
Garrett Hall 0.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.8% 2.4% 7.0% 28.1% 60.7%
Thomas Quinn 14.5% 16.0% 14.7% 17.1% 14.3% 11.6% 7.5% 2.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.