Race 10A

shamrock-scramble

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Kevin Gallagher 13.0% 16.6% 14.8% 16.6% 16.2% 13.1% 7.2% 2.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Reed Weston 27.0% 21.4% 18.8% 14.0% 10.1% 6.2% 2.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bobby Sessions 8.4% 8.4% 11.7% 9.9% 15.7% 16.6% 18.9% 9.1% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Pillari 6.5% 6.2% 8.7% 11.6% 11.5% 18.2% 20.8% 12.4% 3.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Grace Hillman 1.3% 1.2% 1.5% 1.9% 2.1% 3.5% 6.2% 18.3% 42.5% 18.4% 3.1%
Solomon Dworsky 7.5% 8.5% 8.3% 12.0% 13.2% 16.8% 17.9% 11.9% 3.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Sherman Thompson 19.9% 19.7% 17.4% 15.0% 12.4% 8.3% 5.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Thomas Quinn 14.4% 15.1% 16.4% 15.3% 14.9% 11.1% 8.7% 3.1% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
James Kennedy 1.4% 2.6% 2.1% 3.4% 3.4% 5.0% 10.9% 32.7% 28.3% 8.5% 1.7%
Garrett Hall 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.5% 1.0% 2.4% 7.3% 26.2% 61.9%
Davis Crawford 0.4% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.4% 0.7% 1.1% 5.8% 11.6% 46.2% 33.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.