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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.74+3.97vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.61+7.27vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.72+5.79vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.93+3.62vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+6.14vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.44+3.77vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.67+1.70vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.03+3.25vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.33+1.14vs Predicted
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10Harvard University4.50-4.21vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida4.17-4.10vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.87+0.31vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.79-4.79vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont3.73-5.78vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.07-0.34vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.37-5.95vs Predicted
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17Yale University3.57-7.74vs Predicted
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18University of Miami2.28-4.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.97Georgetown University4.740.1%1st Place
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9.27Roger Williams University3.610.0%1st Place
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8.79Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.62College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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11.14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.0%1st Place
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9.77U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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8.7Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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11.25Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
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10.14U. S. Naval Academy3.330.0%1st Place
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5.79Harvard University4.500.1%1st Place
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6.9University of South Florida4.170.1%1st Place
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12.31University of Rhode Island2.870.0%1st Place
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8.21Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.790.1%1st Place
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8.22University of Vermont3.730.1%1st Place
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14.66Salve Regina University2.070.0%1st Place
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10.05Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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9.26Yale University3.570.1%1st Place
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13.92University of Miami2.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Barnard | 15.0% | 15.6% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Pimentel | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Oliver Toole | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% |
| John Wallace | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 6.2% |
| Eric Horrocks | 5.2% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 2.9% |
| Gavin Rudolph | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Ian Towill | 3.4% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.4% |
| Alejandro Ravelo | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| Tedd Himler | 12.2% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Marks | 8.7% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Hughes | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 11.3% |
| Sam Padnos | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Olin Davis | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Robert Keller | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 17.2% | 33.8% |
| William Hutchings | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% |
| Max Nickbarg | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Ben Jassin | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 12.6% | 15.9% | 25.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.