Race 2B

shamrock-scramble

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Thomas Szymanski 23.2% 23.4% 21.7% 15.8% 10.6% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Emma Turner 10.2% 12.5% 14.9% 18.1% 19.4% 14.6% 6.9% 2.6% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Lively 28.1% 25.4% 19.7% 14.6% 7.8% 3.2% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sarah Youtt 11.3% 12.0% 12.5% 19.9% 21.5% 13.3% 6.6% 2.4% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Marina Hutzler 19.7% 17.2% 18.7% 18.3% 14.9% 7.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Colin Higgins 1.8% 3.5% 4.2% 5.5% 9.3% 20.6% 22.0% 17.8% 12.5% 2.7% 0.1%
Grace Marcheselli 2.2% 2.6% 3.5% 2.4% 6.9% 14.1% 20.5% 22.9% 18.7% 5.7% 0.5%
Daniel Timofeev 1.7% 1.3% 2.3% 2.3% 4.6% 12.7% 19.2% 21.5% 22.7% 10.8% 0.9%
Megan O'Gorman 1.2% 1.7% 2.1% 2.4% 4.0% 8.3% 14.3% 23.6% 27.2% 12.0% 3.2%
Thomas Wirbel 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.8% 1.4% 3.5% 5.4% 12.0% 44.2% 31.4%
Lindsey Heben 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.4% 1.9% 2.7% 5.5% 24.6% 63.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.