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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.24+1.45vs Predicted
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2University of Notre Dame1.04+0.66vs Predicted
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3University of Michigan0.28+0.94vs Predicted
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4Marquette University0.20+0.10vs Predicted
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5Saint Mary's College-1.68+2.07vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-1.21+0.36vs Predicted
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7Northwestern University0.07-2.92vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-1.92-0.59vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-2.03-1.29vs Predicted
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10John Carroll University-3.80-0.33vs Predicted
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11Ohio State University-4.92-0.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.45University of Wisconsin1.240.3%1st Place
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2.66University of Notre Dame1.040.3%1st Place
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3.94University of Michigan0.280.1%1st Place
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4.1Marquette University0.200.1%1st Place
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7.07Saint Mary's College-1.680.0%1st Place
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6.36Marquette University-1.210.0%1st Place
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4.08Northwestern University0.070.1%1st Place
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7.41University of Notre Dame-1.920.0%1st Place
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7.71University of Notre Dame-2.030.0%1st Place
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9.67John Carroll University-3.800.0%1st Place
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10.55Ohio State University-4.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Lively | 31.0% | 27.4% | 19.6% | 13.1% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Szymanski | 27.1% | 26.3% | 18.9% | 14.9% | 8.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Youtt | 11.4% | 13.3% | 17.3% | 17.2% | 20.3% | 12.1% | 6.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma Turner | 10.3% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 21.1% | 18.7% | 14.9% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Grace Marcheselli | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 13.6% | 18.8% | 21.0% | 22.5% | 5.6% | 0.3% |
| Colin Higgins | 2.6% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 10.5% | 19.6% | 21.4% | 18.5% | 10.3% | 2.5% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Beretta | 11.5% | 11.8% | 17.3% | 16.6% | 18.4% | 12.9% | 8.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Timofeev | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 12.0% | 18.3% | 22.2% | 22.9% | 9.6% | 0.9% |
| Megan O'Gorman | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 15.6% | 23.0% | 27.6% | 10.7% | 2.9% |
| Thomas Wirbel | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 10.8% | 53.0% | 22.4% |
| Hannah Santantonio | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 18.6% | 73.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.